Trading Strategy Part II: How to Profit by Following Whales
In the financial market, the 80/20 rule often holds true, where retail investors tend to lose money when competing against institutional players. The same principle applies to the crypto market. Whales and institutions have more chips and resources as well as better access to insider information. Therefore, following whales and institutions can help retail investors better navigate the crypto market. Thanks to blockchain's transparency, it's easier for investors to track whales. Leveraging such transparency can be an effective trading strategy.
Following whales for better opportunities
Bitcoin has undergone a surge since early this year, rising to almost $30,000 from around $16,000. In fact, this rally is evident by observing on-chain data.
According to the data analysis provided by Lookonchain, the market rises when a mysterious fund deposits stablecoin to exchanges, and experiences a volatile correction when the injection stops. From January 9 to 25, the fund transferred $632 million worth of USDC from Circle to exchanges, driving up the prices of ETH and other cryptocurrencies. On February 1, the fund withdrew $31.34 million worth of USDC from Circle and deposited the assets to Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance after converting them into USDT. This occurred just four hours before the FOMC meeting, and the ETH and BTC prices saw a significant rise subsequently. Although mainstream cryptocurrencies, including ETH and BTC, began to fall after February 1, the fund didn't halt its capital injection into the crypto market. Instead, its address "0x308F" has moved $155 million worth of USDC from Circle to exchanges since February 10. According to Circle's USDC deposit and withdrawal data, between February 10 and 16, several funds and institutions withdrew around $1.6 billion from the platform while only depositing about $200 million. This directly contributed to the substantial price surge of Bitcoin and Ethereum. (The mysterious fund's address: https://etherscan.io/address/0x308fc89f45694646097c635eb5b3737c931ad253#tokentxn)
How to track whale trades
Whales typically refer to traders with significant capital and influence in the crypto market. Their trades may cause dramatic market fluctuations. However, following whales requires caution, as market changes are unpredictable and can lead to losses. Here are some of the methods and tips for tracking whale trades.
Monitoring market activity: First, watch the market closely, especially assets where whales might be active. This can be done by using market analysis tools like Debank and Etherscan, as well as liquidity indicators and other data on trading platforms.
Spotting whale signals: As whale trades may cause sharp price movements, try to find unusual fluctuations or increased trading volume in price charts – these could be signs of whale activity. Robots offering timely abnormal data can be found on Twitter, such as @glassnodealerts, @whale_alert, and @lookonchain.
Choosing entry points carefully: Select a proper entry point after identifying potential whale trades. This could be at the correction after a price surge or slump, or after the volatility caused by the whale subsides.
Implementing strict risk management: Given the high risk arising from following whales, strict risk management is crucial. Ensure that stop-loss orders are in place to protect against price reversals.
Trading in both directions: Consider adopting a straddle trade strategy, which allows you to trade regardless of the direction of price movements. This helps provide profit opportunities in different market conditions.
Conducting thorough research: Performing a deeper analysis of whales' behavior and motives can help you better understand their trading strategies and patterns, as well as market signals and sentiment indicators.
Avoid blindly following: While following whales can be a reasonable strategy, avoid blindly copying every trade they make. Their behavior could be influenced by various factors, including risk tolerance, holding strategies, and market developments.
Classification and review of on-chain whale addresses
After going through the methods and tips for tracking whales, let's look at some renowned crypto influencers' addresses for you to follow.
Addresses of renowned crypto influencers
Vitalik Buterin
0x220866b1a2219f40e72f5c628b65d54268ca3a9d
0xab5801a7d398351b8be11c439e05c5b3259aec9b
0x1db3439a222c519ab44bb1144fc28167b4fa6ee6
Cryptopunk Big Collector: 0x577ebc5de943e35cdf9ecb5bbe1f7d7cb6c7c647
Synthetix founder Kain: 0x42f9134e9d3bf7eee1f8a5ac2a4328b059e7468c
Shixing "Discus Fish" Mao
0x6e9fe041e0ba8c2af35215d900d188d53d7a9b41
0xca436e14855323927d6e6264470ded36455fc8bd
Early 0xb1 DeFi influencer: 0xb1adceddb2941033a090dd166a462fe1c2029484
Advanced NFT player MEV Collecto: 0x5338035c008ea8c4b850052bc8dad6a33dc2206c
Advanced NFT player Pranksy:
0xd387a6e4e84a6c86bd90c158c6028a58cc8ac459
0xc79b1cb9e38af3a2dee4b46f84f87ae5c36c679c
Anonymous whale: 0x6cf9aa65ebad7028536e353393630e2340ca6049
Early NFT cryptopunk loot player: 0x577eBC5De943e35cdf9ECb5BbE1f7D7CB6c7C647
Justin Sun
0x3ddfa8ec3052539b6c9549f12cea2c295cff5296;
0x85560dbef2533eec139b3e206b119fd700f90262
Feng Bo: 0x5338035c008ea8c4b850052bc8dad6a33dc2206c
NFT player @MEV Collecto (Twitter): 0xd2db6c5e613c0e1ce63c7a15045e8d163a3fc576
Wang Feng, founder of Mars Finance and the NFT trading platform Element: 0xd387a6e4e84a6c86bd90c158c6028a58cc8ac459
NFT player Pranksy: 0xc79b1cb9e38af3a2dee4b46f84f87ae5c36c679c
Meme tokens player: 0xb20bf6d7f60059dd5de46f3f0f32665a259ea6c0
Institutional investors
Ethereum Foundation: 0xde0b295669a9fd93d5f28d9ec85e40f4cb697bae
a16z: 0x05e793ce0c6027323ac150f6d45c2344d28b6019
Multicoin Capital: 0xc8d328b21f476a4b6e0681f6e4e41693a220347d
ParaFi
0xd9b012a168fb6c1b71c24db8cee1a256b3caa2a2
0x4655b7ad0b5f5bacb9cf960bbffceb3f0e51f363
0x5028d77b91a3754fb38b2fbb726af02d1fe44db6
Arca
0xe05a884d4653289916d54ce6ae0967707c519879
CMS
0xafa64cca337efee0ad827f6c2684e69275226e90
Leading ETH accounts: https://etherscan.io/accounts
USDT holder addresses on Ethereum
https://etherscan.io/token/0xdac17f958d2ee523a2206206994597c13d831ec7#balances
USDC holder addresses on Ethereum
https://etherscan.io/token/0xa0b86991c6218b36c1d19d4a2e9eb0ce3606eb48#balances
Real-time on-chain data monitoring: https://twitter.com/lookonchain
References
Review of Wale Addresses: https://mirror.xyz/0xzsc.eth/eScAIAAahR0QJDs7SkU7btsbI1dSHljvUq7K-KDhdQk
Tracking holdings of prominent whales: https://dune.com/0xBi/0xBi
Etherscan: https://etherscan.io/
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